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Argentina vs Algeria prediction

Internationals. World Cup. 2026. Final Tournament. USA, Canada, Mexico. Group Stage. Round 1
Argentina
17 June 2026
3:0
1:0
Algeria
Stadium
США Эрроухед Стэдиум, Канзас-Сити
Referee
Польша Шимон Марциняк
4.3 YC avg.
0.10 RC avg.
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Валерия Филатова
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Argentina

Lionel Scaloni
Coach since Aug 2, 2018

Lionel Scaloni and his coaching staff have their hands full. The team's defense has turned into a real puzzle on the eve of the tournament. The major setback is losing Nicolás Tagliafico. The defender sustained a left calf injury and will definitely miss the opening match.

Scaloni will have to restructure the entire left flank. Most likely, Facundo Medina will fill the position, but that automatically limits options for the central defense. Moreover, other key defenders are far from peak condition.

Gonzalo Montiel and Nahuel Molina have only recently recovered from muscle strains, and have had hardly any game time. Cristian Romero hasn't played in an official match for almost two months due to a knee strain. And we shouldn’t forget Emiliano Martínez, who has been experiencing some discomfort during training sessions.

Yes, the Argentines won their last friendly matches against Iceland with a score of 3-0 and Honduras 2-0. But even in those games, there were moments when their defense didn’t look impenetrable. With such a disjointed and recovering defensive line, keeping a clean sheet in the first World Cup game will be extremely challenging.

Algeria

Vladimir Petković
Coach since Feb 29, 2024

The Algerian national team currently presents a formidable and balanced force. Head coach Vladimir Petkovic has instilled an approach of quick and aggressive football in the team. They focus on lightning-fast transitions from defense to attack and their forwards' technical skills.

In attack, the Africans have assembled quite the squad. The vastly experienced Riyad Mahrez continues to lead the charge. Alongside him are youthful and victory-hungry players like Amine Gouiri, Mohamed Amoura, and Anis Hadj Mussa.

But what truly impresses is the depth and versatility of their bench. In their last warm-up match against Bolivia (4-0), the coaching staff made a complete lineup change at halftime. Intriguingly, it was the fresh attacking players – Gouiri, Hadj Mussa, and Boulebina – who scored three goals in just five minutes, sealing a dominant win.

This shows that Algeria not only possesses a strong starting eleven but also has quality substitutes ready to enhance the game and maintain a high tempo. This becomes a crucial factor, especially in a match where physical fitness might play a defining role. Even if Argentina's starting defense holds up in the first half, the second half will see quick and motivated reserves replacing tired South American leaders.

Prediction

Argentina remains the favorite going into the match. Lionel Messi is back in action after his muscle issues, having played against Iceland and netting a penalty. The South Americans' attacking potential is massive, and they are likely to dominate the field at Kansas City's stadium.

However, keeping a clean sheet is a tall order for Scaloni’s men. Against Algeria’s cohesive, fast attack and flexible bench, their unsteady defense might falter. It’s enough to recall the only head-to-head meeting between the teams in 2007 when Argentina won 4-3, letting their opponent score thrice.

I believe an optimal bet for this matchup would be for Argentina not to win without conceding. A wager on "P1 with a clean sheet - No" at odds of 1.71 seems very logical and rational to me. The visitors have all the tools to breach the reigning world champions' goal, and their squad depth only strengthens this belief.

Win 1 with a dry score - No
1.71
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