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E.Rybakina vs T.Maria prediction

WTA 500. London, England. Singles. Round of 16
KazakhstanE.Rybakina
WTA: 2
12 June 2026
2:1
6:7, 7:5, 6:0
GermanyT.Maria
WTA: 96
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Артур Березников
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Author predictions statistics in previous month.
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E.Rybakina

Elena Rybakina missed a prime opportunity to close the gap on Aryna Sabalenka in the rankings at the Paris tournament, bowing out unexpectedly early to Yulia Starodubtseva (1-2) in the second round. The world No. 2 is fond of grass courts, having clinched Wimbledon previously, but she faces a challenging start in London after a lengthy break and the transition from clay to grass, encountering a tough opening opponent in the English capital. Her coach, Stefano Vukov, will need to work on helping her adapt to her opponent's rhythm and style of play.

T.Maria

Tatjana Maria has been unbeaten at the London tournament since its inception two years ago. With seven consecutive match victories and a title won from the qualifiers last season, she's once again made it through the qualifiers and had a strong start in the main draw this year. In the first round, the German effortlessly dispatched Maria Sakkari in straight sets (6-3, 6-3), showcasing her mastery and experience on grass. Maria excelled with five break points, winning 74% of first-service points and 52.5% of return points, dominating the court and displaying high-quality tennis ahead of her clash with Rybakina.

Prediction

The head-to-head tally between the two players is tied at 1-1. Most notably, we remember their face-off here in London last year during the tournament's quarterfinals, where Maria handled her opponent's aggression with finesse and toppled Rybakina in straight sets (6-4, 7-6). Tatjana wields a formidable serve and utilizes slice shots effectively, making life difficult for her opponents with low balls that are tricky to deal with. She consistently varies the game's tempo, thereby making it hard to adapt on grass. Maria's 'slice and dice' strategy might again bring her success against Rybakina, who will be entering the match rusty on grass, post-break, and will likely struggle with match rhythm. As was the case last year, a favorable handicap on the German player should comfortably hold up.

Asian handicap 2(+5.5)
1.57
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