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F.Auger-Aliassime vs C.Ruud prediction

Author: artem_kjash
ATP Masters 1000. Monte Carlo, Monaco. Singles. Round of 16
CanadaF.Auger-Aliassime
ATP: 5
9 April 2026
Матч не был доигран
NorwayC.Ruud
ATP: 17
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F.Auger-Aliassime

Admittedly, Auger-Aliassime has yet to reach his peak. However, even at this stage, the Canadian remains a formidable opponent who should not be underestimated. Felix, wisely preparing for the clay season, played a series of exhibition matches on clay courts, where he defeated Dimitrov, Rublev, and Ruud. He consistently stays competitive, clearly accustomed to the slower bounce. In the first round of Monte-Carlo, the world number seven dispatched Cilic in straight sets. During that match, Auger-Aliassime broke the Croatian's serve four times, which was more than enough to secure the win. Notably, his career record on clay is impressive (127-71), demonstrating his competence on this surface.

C.Ruud

Ruud, during exhibition matches, managed to face off against Khachanov, then bested Bublik before succumbing to Auger-Aliassime. Truthfully, I still hold to my opinion: the Norwegian is far from his best form. Yes, Casper defeated Popyrin in the first round of Monte-Carlo, but Alexei didn't come close to showing his full talents. Subsequently, the Norwegian somehow managed to lose his serve three times to Moutet. Against the Frenchman, Ruud struggled during extended rallies, failed to maintain the pace, and made numerous unforced errors. Though eventually, his higher skill level prevailed, one must wonder what awaits when facing an opponent who has long been ranked among the top 10?

Prediction

From my perspective, Auger-Aliassime is no less potent than Ruud. Felix showcased his prowess against Cilic, tenaciously attacking serves and strategically intensifying. It is evident that the seventh-ranked player is in excellent physical shape and aims to make a deep run in the tournament bracket. On the other hand, Casper wasn't flawless against the modest Moutet and could have easily dropped at least one set. The Norwegian has lost in their last three head-to-head encounters. The last official match was in 2024 in Cincinnati, where Auger-Aliassime smoothly and effortlessly dispatched his adversary in straight sets. Moreover, their most recent exhibition encounter also favored the Canadian. I believe history might just repeat itself on the clay courts in Monte-Carlo. I'm going with a victory for Felix.

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