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Lokomotiv Moscow vs Rubin Kazan prediction
Lokomotiv Moscow
The "Railwaymen" are steadily getting ready for the new season's kickoff in the Russian Premier League at Bakovka. Under the guidance of Mikhail Galaktinov, the team has shown some inconsistent performance over the seasons, especially struggling after winter breaks. Nonetheless, they clinched the bronze medal last season, which for the Muscovites, given their current circumstances, marks a significant achievement.
This off-season has been particularly solid for the team with a perfect defensive run – conceding zero goals across six matches. A notable move was the return of Georgy Dzhikiya from Antalya to bolster their backline. Meanwhile, in attack, Vorobyov has set his sights on Krasnodar and won't face "Ruben". However, the attacking line-up featuring Batrakov, Pinaev, Bakaev, Komlichenko, and Rudenko remains strong and is unlikely to falter despite Dmitry's transfer to the "bulls."
As a reminder, the red-greens have won five out of their last six friendlies this summer, including a 1-0 victory against CSKA and clean sweeps against teams like Znamya Truda (8-0), Spartak (2-0), Akron (3-0), and Spartak from Kostroma (2-0). The departures of Timofeev and Sarveli have lightened the payroll, and with Prutsev returning to Spartak after his loan, it's been quite a productive off-season for them.
Rubin Kazan
Ruben put in a decent performance last season, finishing 8th in the RPL. However, the Kazan outfit predominantly excelled when playing at home in the Ak Bars Arena. On the road, whether under Rakhimov or Antiga, their performance was rather lackluster.
There haven't been many changes in the squad over the summer. Still, the recruitment of Ilya Samoshnikov on loan from Spartak stands out as a key addition. Having played for Ruben before, he's well-acquainted with the team's dynamics and is sure to beef up the flank defense, also enhancing their throw-in game with his long ball deliveries.
This summer, Kazan has played four friendlies. They've drawn 0-0 with Spartak in Moscow, lost 1-2 to Orenburg, drew 1-1 against KAMAZ, and secured a 2-0 win over Krylya. The struggle to score more than one goal in most matches shows that breaching Loco's sturdy defense might pose a significant challenge for Kazan's attack.
Prediction
On Saturday, two friendlies are lined up in Cherkizovo between Lokomotiv and Ruben (at 11 and 18 o'clock with different squads). No matter the line-up, Lokomotiv places a premium on strong defense, which has proven effective so far.
Ruben's attack under Antiga this summer hasn't impressed. In my opinion, Kazan's rotation isn't up to the task of scoring more than one goal against Lokomotiv, who have been nearly airtight. It's worth noting that Rubin has lost three of the last four meetings in Moscow against Loco without scoring (0-1 twice and 0-3 in the cup), bringing any potential offensive success for the visitors into question.
Ruben's away form in this off-season has been low-scoring, evidenced by the 0-0 draw with Spartak. On the other hand, Lokomotiv's defense has been rock-solid over the summer, and Galaktinov's team is poised to take the lead thanks to their squad's quality and attack mobility. Rubin's style – defense plus rare counter-attacks – in this match-up setup makes scoring two goals against Kazan very unlikely.
Lokomotiv's reliable defensive play, the early kick-off time not conducive to fast-paced matches due to physiological factors, and Rubin's not-so-great away form suggest that the visitors will struggle to score two or more goals against the "Railwaymen.""
