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Sporting Braga vs Benfica prediction

Portugal. Primeira Liga
Sporting Braga
17 May 2025
1:1
1:0
Benfica
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Sporting Braga

Braga's faltering end to the season in the last three rounds has effectively eliminated their hopes of contending for the third spot alongside Porto. Now, they can only blame themselves as they gear up for a less favorable European competition. Banking on the idea that the "Dragons" would suffer a home defeat against newcomers Nacional seems like wishful thinking. Clearly, the "Red and Whites" couldn't maintain their momentum until the end— a 1-1 draw with both Famalicão and Santa Clara last week followed by a crucial 1-2 away loss to Casa Pia sealed their fate in the battle for third place. Being three points behind Porto, paired with an upcoming game against Benfica in the final round, spells doom for Carvalhal's men. For this clash against the "Eagles", only Noro will be absent.

Benfica

Benfica comes into the final round of the championship race as the underdog. Last weekend, they couldn't secure a win against Sporting at Da Luz (1-1), which left "the Lions" with the head-to-head advantage despite being tied on points. This means that if both teams secure wins, Bruno Lage's side might lose out on the championship to their arch-rival due to supplementary criteria. It’s an unfortunate, but possible conclusion. Therefore, any semblance of intrigue remains contingent upon Benfica defeating Braga on the road. Missing for the "Red and Whites" will be Manu, Bá, and Renato Sanches.

Prediction

Much of what the visitors lost in this championship race occurred earlier on, not just in their latest match. Still, there's no changing it now. Di Maria and his squad must aim to overcome a nearly unmotivated Braga, who "dropped the ball" in closing the season under a tough schedule, remaining winless for three rounds. The visitors are superior in terms of squad depth; they've gathered steam moving into the season's final stretch, having bested Braga twice this season with only one loss at the beginning (1-2 in the league). In 2025, they secured a 1-0 and 3-0 win in the League Cup and the Portuguese Cup, respectively. With the championship title on the line and Braga already coming to terms with fourth place, it's time to clinch a hat-trick of victories over the hosts this year and hope for a Sporting slip-up.

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