St Johnstone - Ross County прогноз

Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between St Johnstone and Ross County. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.

For St Johnstone, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team St Johnstone conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.

Similarly, for Ross County, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.

After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 156 points to the home team and 326 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (St Johnstone) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.

To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 53.85% of victories for the team St Johnstone occurred in home matches. For the team Ross County this indicator is 58.62%. On average, this equates to 56.23%, suggesting a slight advantage for St Johnstone all other things being equal.

Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 56.23% of the home team's points and 43.77% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Ross County with an advantage of 142 points against 88. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 61.85% to 38.15%.

Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 28.74% with a coefficient of 3.48. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 2.39, and for the away team's victory it is 3.39. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 58.65%, and the away team's victory - 41.35%. This differs from our calculations.

As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Ross County's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 20.5%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 3.39, while in reality, it should be 2.27.

Our mathematical algorithm has detected significant inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds for this match. Such a large difference can only mean that we have not taken into account some important factor that allows the bookmakers to set such odds. We cannot confidently recommend using our prediction for betting on this match, as the potential profit will be minimal.