Aldershot Town - Solihull Moors прогноз

Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Aldershot Town and Solihull Moors. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.

For Aldershot Town, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Aldershot Town conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.

Similarly, for Solihull Moors, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.

After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 279 points to the home team and 137 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Aldershot Town) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.

To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 66.1% of victories for the team Aldershot Town occurred in home matches. For the team Solihull Moors this indicator is 41.94%. On average, this equates to 54.02%, suggesting a slight advantage for Aldershot Town all other things being equal.

Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 54.02% of the home team's points and 45.98% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Aldershot Town with an advantage of 151 points against 63. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 70.51% to 29.49%.

Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 27.62% with a coefficient of 3.62. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 2.31, and for the away team's victory it is 3.44. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 59.85%, and the away team's victory - 40.15%. This differs from our calculations.

As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Aldershot Town's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 11.49%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 2.31, while in reality, it should be 1.96.

We suggest using our prediction. But we do not guarantee that the bet will definitely win. Our strategy is designed to generate profits over the long term.