Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Shamal прогноз

Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Al-Ahli Doha and Al-Shamal. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.

For Al-Ahli Doha, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Al-Ahli Doha conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.

Similarly, for Al-Shamal, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.

After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 287 points to the home team and 385 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Al-Ahli Doha) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.

To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 50% of victories for the team Al-Ahli Doha occurred in home matches. For the team Al-Shamal this indicator is 50.77%. On average, this equates to 50.39%, suggesting a slight advantage for Al-Ahli Doha all other things being equal.

Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 50.39% of the home team's points and 49.62% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Al-Shamal with an advantage of 191 points against 145. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 56.88% to 43.12%.

Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 24.45% with a coefficient of 4.09. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 2.3, and for the away team's victory it is 3.12. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 57.55%, and the away team's victory - 42.46%. This differs from our calculations.

As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Al-Shamal's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 14.42%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 3.12, while in reality, it should be 2.33.

We suggest using our prediction. But we do not guarantee that the bet will definitely win. Our strategy is designed to generate profits over the long term.