Eastbourne Borough - Maidstone United прогноз
Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Eastbourne Borough and Maidstone United. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.
Истборн Боро
For Eastbourne Borough, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Eastbourne Borough conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.
Мейдстон Юнайтед
Similarly, for Maidstone United, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.
Определение фаворита
After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 374 points to the home team and 287 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Eastbourne Borough) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.
Набранные баллы
To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 60.35% of victories for the team Eastbourne Borough occurred in home matches. For the team Maidstone United this indicator is 59.38%. On average, this equates to 59.86%, suggesting a slight advantage for Eastbourne Borough all other things being equal.
Процент домашних побед
Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 59.86% of the home team's points and 40.14% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Eastbourne Borough with an advantage of 224 points against 115. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 66.05% to 33.95%.
Набранные баллы с учетом процента домашних побед
Коэффициенты и вероятность
Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 29.67% with a coefficient of 3.37. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 2.73, and for the away team's victory it is 2.96. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 52.01%, and the away team's victory - 47.99%. This differs from our calculations.
Сравнение полученных данных с букмекерами
Прогноз на матч
As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Eastbourne Borough's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 13.75%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 2.73, while in reality, it should be 2.15.
Сопосотавление коэффициентов
We suggest using our prediction. But we do not guarantee that the bet will definitely win. Our strategy is designed to generate profits over the long term.