Radnicki Nis - Vojvodina прогноз
Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Radnicki Nis and Vojvodina. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.
Раднички Ниш
For Radnicki Nis, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Radnicki Nis conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.
Войводина
Similarly, for Vojvodina, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.
Определение фаворита
After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 240 points to the home team and 405 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Radnicki Nis) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.
Набранные баллы
To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 64.62% of victories for the team Radnicki Nis occurred in home matches. For the team Vojvodina this indicator is 54.24%. On average, this equates to 59.43%, suggesting a slight advantage for Radnicki Nis all other things being equal.
Процент домашних побед
Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 59.43% of the home team's points and 40.57% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Vojvodina with an advantage of 164 points against 143. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 53.49% to 46.51%.
Набранные баллы с учетом процента домашних побед
Коэффициенты и вероятность
Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 27.03% with a coefficient of 3.7. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 5.17, and for the away team's victory it is 1.86. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 26.47%, and the away team's victory - 73.53%. This differs from our calculations.
Сравнение полученных данных с букмекерами
Прогноз на матч
As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Radnicki Nis's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 18.06%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 5.17, while in reality, it should be 2.95.
Сопосотавление коэффициентов
Our mathematical algorithm has detected significant inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds for this match. Such a large difference can only mean that we have not taken into account some important factor that allows the bookmakers to set such odds. We cannot confidently recommend using our prediction for betting on this match, as the potential profit will be minimal.