IMT Novi Beograd - OFK Beograd прогноз

Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between IMT Novi Beograd and OFK Beograd. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.

For IMT Novi Beograd, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team IMT Novi Beograd conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.

Similarly, for OFK Beograd, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.

After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 216 points to the home team and 144 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (IMT Novi Beograd) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.

To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 52.46% of victories for the team IMT Novi Beograd occurred in home matches. For the team OFK Beograd this indicator is 56.67%. On average, this equates to 54.56%, suggesting a slight advantage for IMT Novi Beograd all other things being equal.

Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 54.56% of the home team's points and 45.44% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is IMT Novi Beograd with an advantage of 118 points against 65. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 64.28% to 35.72%.

Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 28.01% with a coefficient of 3.57. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 2.29, and for the away team's victory it is 3.53. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 60.67%, and the away team's victory - 39.33%. This differs from our calculations.

As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of IMT Novi Beograd's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 3.6%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 2.29, while in reality, it should be 2.16.

The mathematical analysis of the betting odds for this match did not reveal any significant inaccuracies. We cannot confidently recommend using our forecast for bets on this match, as the potential profit will be minimal.