Radnicki 1923 - Novi Pazar прогноз

Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Radnicki 1923 and Novi Pazar. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.

Раднички 1923

For Radnicki 1923, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Radnicki 1923 conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.

21/02
Г
В гостях
22
Текстилач Оджаци
1:0
+53
16/02
Д
Дома
33
Младость Лучани
1:0
+51
08/02
Г
В гостях
64
Црвена Звезда
0:6
+4
03/02
Д
Дома
28
ОФК Белград
2:0
+68
21/12
Г
В гостях
36
Войводина
2:3
+32
16/12
Д
Дома
26
Спартак Суботица
2:0
+55
09/12
Г
В гостях
25
Раднички Ниш
2:1
+46
30/11
Д
Дома
24
ИМТ Нови-Београд
1:3
+2

Нови-Пазаp

Similarly, for Novi Pazar, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.

24/02
Д
Дома
24
Бачка-Топола
2:1
+43
17/02
Г
В гостях
29
Чукарички
1:1
+37
09/02
Г
В гостях
12
Единство Уб
1:0
+25
01/02
Д
Дома
22
Текстилач Оджаци
2:3
+14
20/12
Г
В гостях
33
Младость Лучани
3:1
+104
15/12
Д
Дома
64
Црвена Звезда
1:7
+2
09/12
Г
В гостях
28
ОФК Белград
1:1
+28
29/11
Д
Дома
36
Войводина
0:4
+1

Определение фаворита

After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 311 points to the home team and 253 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Radnicki 1923) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.

Набранные баллы

Раднички 1923
Нови-Пазаp
311
253

To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 60.87% of victories for the team Radnicki 1923 occurred in home matches. For the team Novi Pazar this indicator is 55.56%. On average, this equates to 58.21%, suggesting a slight advantage for Radnicki 1923 all other things being equal.

Процент домашних побед

Раднички 1923
60.87%
Нови-Пазаp
55.56%
Среднее
58.21%

Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 58.21% of the home team's points and 41.79% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Radnicki 1923 with an advantage of 181 points against 106. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 63.19% to 36.81%.

Набранные баллы с учетом процента домашних побед

Раднички 1923
Нови-Пазаp
181
106

Коэффициенты и вероятность

Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 22.12% with a coefficient of 4.52. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 1.66, and for the away team's victory it is 5.72. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 77.55%, and the away team's victory - 22.45%. This differs from our calculations.

Сравнение полученных данных с букмекерами

Раднички 1923
Нови-Пазаp
Букмекер
77.55%
22.45%
Алгоритм
63.19%
36.81%

Прогноз на матч

As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Novi Pazar's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 13.33%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 5.72, while in reality, it should be 3.49.

Сопосотавление коэффициентов

П1
Ничья
П2
Букмекер
1.66
4.52
5.72
Алгоритм
2.03
4.52
3.49

We suggest using our prediction. But we do not guarantee that the bet will definitely win. Our strategy is designed to generate profits over the long term.

Победа 2
5.72

Статистика наших прогнозов

2025 February

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2190
Roi
+13.12 %
Прибыль
+$28728

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Roi
+7.37 %
Прибыль
+$14510

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