Tusker - Shabana прогноз

Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Tusker and Shabana. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.

Таскер

For Tusker, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Tusker conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.

16/02
Г
В гостях
32
Гор Махия
0:0
+42
08/02
Д
Дома
41
Кения Полис
0:0
+37
02/02
Д
Дома
31
Кения Коммершл Бэнк
0:0
+28
25/01
Г
В гостях
31
Улинзи Старз
1:0
+60
19/01
Д
Дома
32
Гор Махия
2:1
+45
15/01
Д
Дома
29
Бандари
1:0
+36
11/01
Г
В гостях
29
Шабана
1:2
+23
04/01
Д
Дома
32
Гор Махия
2:1
+40

Шабана

Similarly, for Shabana, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.

16/02
Д
Дома
27
Матаре Юнайтед
0:0
+26
09/02
Г
В гостях
19
Поста Рейнджерс
1:2
+18
02/02
Д
Дома
17
Кариобанджи Шаркс
0:0
+17
26/01
Г
В гостях
37
Софапака
1:0
+69
19/01
Г
В гостях
29
Бандари
1:1
+34
11/01
Д
Дома
41
Таскер
2:1
+53
21/12
Г
В гостях
27
Матаре Юнайтед
0:1
+20
15/12
Д
Дома
31
Кения Коммершл Бэнк
2:0
+71

Определение фаворита

After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 312 points to the home team and 307 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Tusker) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.

Набранные баллы

Таскер
Шабана
312
307

To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 58.73% of victories for the team Tusker occurred in home matches. For the team Shabana this indicator is 59.68%. On average, this equates to 59.2%, suggesting a slight advantage for Tusker all other things being equal.

Процент домашних побед

Таскер
58.73%
Шабана
59.68%
Среднее
59.2%

Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 59.2% of the home team's points and 40.8% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Tusker with an advantage of 185 points against 125. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 59.57% to 40.43%.

Набранные баллы с учетом процента домашних побед

Таскер
Шабана
185
125

Коэффициенты и вероятность

Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 28.82% with a coefficient of 3.47. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 1.91, and for the away team's victory it is 5.33. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 73.62%, and the away team's victory - 26.38%. This differs from our calculations.

Сравнение полученных данных с букмекерами

Таскер
Шабана
Букмекер
73.62%
26.38%
Алгоритм
59.57%
40.43%

Прогноз на матч

As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Shabana's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 14.05%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 5.33, while in reality, it should be 3.47.

Сопосотавление коэффициентов

П1
Ничья
П2
Букмекер
1.91
3.47
5.33
Алгоритм
2.36
3.47
3.47

We suggest using our prediction. But we do not guarantee that the bet will definitely win. Our strategy is designed to generate profits over the long term.

Победа 2
5.33

Статистика наших прогнозов

2025 February

Прогнозов
2193
Roi
+13.2 %
Прибыль
+$28949

Previous week

Прогнозов
553
Roi
+27.63 %
Прибыль
+$15282

2025 January

Прогнозов
1969
Roi
+7.37 %
Прибыль
+$14510

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