Manchester 62 - Lions Gibraltar прогноз
Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Manchester 62 and Lions Gibraltar. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.
Манчестер 62
For Manchester 62, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Manchester 62 conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.
Лайонс Гибралтар
Similarly, for Lions Gibraltar, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.
Определение фаворита
After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 297 points to the home team and 377 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Manchester 62) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.
Набранные баллы
To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 49.28% of victories for the team Manchester 62 occurred in home matches. For the team Lions Gibraltar this indicator is 56.06%. On average, this equates to 52.67%, suggesting a slight advantage for Manchester 62 all other things being equal.
Процент домашних побед
Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 52.67% of the home team's points and 47.33% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Lions Gibraltar with an advantage of 178 points against 156. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 53.32% to 46.68%.
Набранные баллы с учетом процента домашних побед
Коэффициенты и вероятность
Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 24.63% with a coefficient of 4.06. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 2.66, and for the away team's victory it is 2.64. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 49.79%, and the away team's victory - 50.21%. This differs from our calculations.
Сравнение полученных данных с букмекерами
Прогноз на матч
As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Lions Gibraltar's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 3.11%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 2.64, while in reality, it should be 2.49.
Сопосотавление коэффициентов
The mathematical analysis of the betting odds for this match did not reveal any significant inaccuracies. We cannot confidently recommend using our forecast for bets on this match, as the potential profit will be minimal.