Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Umm Al Fahm прогноз

Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Hapoel Kfar Saba and Hapoel Umm Al Fahm. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.

For Hapoel Kfar Saba, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Hapoel Kfar Saba conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.

Similarly, for Hapoel Umm Al Fahm, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.

After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 309 points to the home team and 189 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Hapoel Kfar Saba) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.

To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 54.72% of victories for the team Hapoel Kfar Saba occurred in home matches. For the team Hapoel Umm Al Fahm this indicator is 61.91%. On average, this equates to 58.31%, suggesting a slight advantage for Hapoel Kfar Saba all other things being equal.

Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 58.31% of the home team's points and 41.69% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Hapoel Kfar Saba with an advantage of 180 points against 79. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 69.63% to 30.37%.

Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 25% with a coefficient of 4. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 1.84, and for the away team's victory it is 4.83. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 72.38%, and the away team's victory - 27.62%. This differs from our calculations.

As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Hapoel Umm Al Fahm's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 2.75%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 4.83, while in reality, it should be 4.39.

The mathematical analysis of the betting odds for this match did not reveal any significant inaccuracies. We cannot confidently recommend using our forecast for bets on this match, as the potential profit will be minimal.