Eyupspor vs Kayserispor prediction
Eyupspor
On the shores of the Bosphorus, Arda Turan's team had a fabulous season before the winter break, securing 4th place in the Turkish Super League, and this phenomenon is simply amazing for a newcomer who joined the elite for the first time in history last season. In 22 matches, the team scored 39 points due to 11 wins and 6 draws, while conceding the least in the league - only 20 goals. The defensive game on home turf looks especially impressive - only 6 goals conceded in 10 home matches, while 7 meetings were won.
Another trump card of Turan's team is the ability to play long sequences. So after the New Year, the wards of the legendary Turkish football player just started 2025 brilliantly - 4 consecutive league wins with a total score of 9-1, defeating Antalyaspor (4-1), Eilem (1-0), Bodrum (1-0) and Sivasspor (1-0) successively. In the last round, they lost 0-1 to Trabzonspor on the road, while creating 2.5 expected goals against 1.22 for the hosts, so the team showed a decent game.
By the way, the hosts also have no special problems with personnel. Only Rajep Niyaz, Leo Dubois, Frederic Mitsho and Tashkin Ilter are in the infirmary, and all these injuries are long-standing and the team has learned how to play well without these guys. Eflatun-sarılılar conducted a powerful campaign in the transfer market - they signed Umut Bozok from Trabzon, where he was one of the leaders of the attack, promising Hamza Akman, and, most importantly, ex-captain of Shakhtar Taras Stepanenko, as well as Yalcın Kayan and Erdem Chalik to strengthen the depth of the squad.
Kayserispor
The situation for the guests is quite sad at the moment. After a successful last season, sarykyrmyzylar are now falling down and occupy only 17th place, with 20 points in 21 games, of which only 4 wins were achieved with 8 draws and 9 defeats. The results against the Kayseri team are literally catastrophic - only 2 wins and 4 draws in 10 matches with a goal difference of 9-18. In addition, the team can not find itself at a distance in any way - the series without victories in the championship was 10 matches before the last round.
In the last round, the "Anatolian stars" seemed to have soaked up the score with their victories - they defeated Konyaspor 3-2 at home, and very laboriously, leading 2-0 and 3-1 along the way, they almost missed the advantage in the end. And the referee helped a lot in one of the moments, canceling out a goal for the guests in the 86th minute. According to xG, the match was equal - 1.43 against 1.32 in favor of the hosts, so this is rather a local success that should not turn heads.
The team is still very weak in the rear - they concede more than 2 goals per game on average on the road, and in the last 10 rounds they conceded the most in the league - 25 goals. After the departure of Eilton Boa Morte, the team lost a skilled performer in attack, who was able to beat one-on-one and had 4 goals and 2 assists in 18 matches of the season.
It is important to note that in the last match against Konyaspor, the main left defender Hassan Ali Kaldirim saw another yellow card, which will significantly weaken the guests in the match against Eyupspor. In addition, the team missed the transfer market due to financial problems - the transfer window was closed for Kayserispor due to debts.
Prediction
In this match, everything points to the victory of the hosts. Eyupspor has been spectacular at home all this season - 7 wins in 10 matches, with only one loss. Arda Turan's team is burning everything out on their own field, having achieved the best record for missed goals at home - only 6 goals flew into the home team's goal in 10 games. Eflatun-sarılılar score an average of 2.3 points per match at home, the second best result in the entire league.
In addition, the hosts now have a series of 8 wins in the last 10 home games, and Kayserispor has huge problems with defense - he concedes more than 2 goals per game away, while scoring fewer goals on average. The visitors lost their main attacking player Boa Morte, and they look extremely weak on the road throughout the campaign, having lost 4 of the last 6 away battles.
Of course, Eyupspor lost to Trabzonspor on a visit in the last round, but there the team created 2.5 xG chances against 1.22 for the hosts, it was just unlucky with the implementation. In addition, the home game on the home field is completely different - here they completely control the course of events and create a lot of chances. Taking into account the problems with the composition of the guests, especially the loss of Hassan Ali Kaldirim, who received his 4th yellow card of the season, Arda Turan's wards should gain their rightful 3 points here.
By the way, the teams went 2-2 in the first round, but then Kayserispor had Boa Morte, who scored an assist. Now, the away team is significantly weakened, and their away game is simply terrifying - only 10 points in 10 matches with a goal difference of 9-18. At the same time, Eupspor scored 23 points at home in 10 games with a difference of 19-6, so the class of teams is simply not comparable now.
