Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe - CFR Cluj прогноз
Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and CFR Cluj. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.
Сепси ОСК Сфынту-Георге
For Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.
ЧФР Клуж
Similarly, for CFR Cluj, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.
Определение фаворита
After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 214 points to the home team and 437 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.
Набранные баллы
To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 63.64% of victories for the team Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe occurred in home matches. For the team CFR Cluj this indicator is 58.93%. On average, this equates to 61.28%, suggesting a slight advantage for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe all other things being equal.
Процент домашних побед
Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 61.28% of the home team's points and 38.72% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is CFR Cluj with an advantage of 169 points against 131. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 56.29% to 43.71%.
Набранные баллы с учетом процента домашних побед
Коэффициенты и вероятность
Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 27.17% with a coefficient of 3.68. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 4.33, and for the away team's victory it is 2.01. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 31.7%, and the away team's victory - 68.3%. This differs from our calculations.
Сравнение полученных данных с букмекерами
Прогноз на матч
As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 11.23%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 4.33, while in reality, it should be 3.14.
Сопосотавление коэффициентов
We suggest using our prediction. But we do not guarantee that the bet will definitely win. Our strategy is designed to generate profits over the long term.