Fortuna Dusseldorf - Greuther Furth прогноз

Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Fortuna Dusseldorf and Greuther Furth. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.

For Fortuna Dusseldorf, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Fortuna Dusseldorf conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.

Similarly, for Greuther Furth, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.

After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 261 points to the home team and 236 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Fortuna Dusseldorf) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.

To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 48.33% of victories for the team Fortuna Dusseldorf occurred in home matches. For the team Greuther Furth this indicator is 60%. On average, this equates to 54.17%, suggesting a slight advantage for Fortuna Dusseldorf all other things being equal.

Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 54.17% of the home team's points and 45.83% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Fortuna Dusseldorf with an advantage of 141 points against 108. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 56.66% to 43.34%.

Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 23.15% with a coefficient of 4.32. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 1.84, and for the away team's victory it is 4.42. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 70.59%, and the away team's victory - 29.41%. This differs from our calculations.

As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Greuther Furth's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 12.81%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 4.42, while in reality, it should be 3.

We suggest using our prediction. But we do not guarantee that the bet will definitely win. Our strategy is designed to generate profits over the long term.