Qatar SC - Umm-Salal прогноз
Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Qatar SC and Umm-Salal. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.
Катар СК
For Qatar SC, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Qatar SC conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.
Умм-Салаль
Similarly, for Umm-Salal, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.
Определение фаворита
After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 389 points to the home team and 228 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Qatar SC) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.
Набранные баллы
To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 52.46% of victories for the team Qatar SC occurred in home matches. For the team Umm-Salal this indicator is 45.76%. On average, this equates to 49.11%, suggesting a slight advantage for Qatar SC all other things being equal.
Процент домашних побед
Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 49.11% of the home team's points and 50.89% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Qatar SC with an advantage of 191 points against 116. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 62.23% to 37.77%.
Набранные баллы с учетом процента домашних побед
Коэффициенты и вероятность
Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 25.51% with a coefficient of 3.92. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 2.56, and for the away team's victory it is 2.82. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 52.43%, and the away team's victory - 47.57%. This differs from our calculations.
Сравнение полученных данных с букмекерами
Прогноз на матч
As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Qatar SC's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 8.59%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 2.56, while in reality, it should be 2.16.
Сопосотавление коэффициентов
We suggest using our prediction. But we do not guarantee that the bet will definitely win. Our strategy is designed to generate profits over the long term.