Stellenbosch - Polokwane City прогноз

Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Stellenbosch and Polokwane City. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.

Стелленбосх

For Stellenbosch, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Stellenbosch conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.

25/02
Д
Дома
16
Магеси
2:1
+33
21/02
Д
Дома
20
Ричардс-Бей
1:1
+19
18/02
Г
В гостях
28
ТС Гэлакси
3:2
+60
07/02
Д
Дома
29
Кайзер Чифс
0:1
+20
01/02
Д
Дома
35
Секхукхуне Юнайтед
1:1
+26
23/01
Г
В гостях
29
АмаЗулу
5:0
+154
08/01
Г
В гостях
29
Кайзер Чифс
1:2
+21
28/12
Г
В гостях
24
Суперспорт Юнайтед
1:1
+22

Полокване Сити

Similarly, for Polokwane City, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.

23/02
Г
В гостях
19
Марюмо Галлантс
0:0
+28
18/02
Д
Дома
16
Магеси
0:1
+13
08/02
Г
В гостях
20
Ричардс-Бей
0:2
+4
05/02
Г
В гостях
28
ТС Гэлакси
0:0
+36
01/02
Д
Дома
27
Чиппа Юнайтед
1:0
+38
17/01
Г
В гостях
24
Суперспорт Юнайтед
1:0
+44
05/01
Д
Дома
35
Секхукхуне Юнайтед
1:1
+21
28/12
Г
В гостях
28
Голден Эрроуз
0:0
+26

Определение фаворита

After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 355 points to the home team and 210 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Stellenbosch) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.

Набранные баллы

Стелленбосх
Полокване Сити
355
210

To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 51.67% of victories for the team Stellenbosch occurred in home matches. For the team Polokwane City this indicator is 58.18%. On average, this equates to 54.93%, suggesting a slight advantage for Stellenbosch all other things being equal.

Процент домашних побед

Стелленбосх
51.67%
Полокване Сити
58.18%
Среднее
54.93%

Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 54.93% of the home team's points and 45.08% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Stellenbosch with an advantage of 195 points against 95. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 67.31% to 32.69%.

Набранные баллы с учетом процента домашних побед

Стелленбосх
Полокване Сити
195
95

Коэффициенты и вероятность

Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 27.86% with a coefficient of 3.59. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 1.87, and for the away team's victory it is 5.33. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 74.02%, and the away team's victory - 25.98%. This differs from our calculations.

Сравнение полученных данных с букмекерами

Стелленбосх
Полокване Сити
Букмекер
74.02%
25.98%
Алгоритм
67.31%
32.69%

Прогноз на матч

As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Polokwane City's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 6.7%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 5.33, while in reality, it should be 4.24.

Сопосотавление коэффициентов

П1
Ничья
П2
Букмекер
1.87
3.59
5.33
Алгоритм
2.06
3.59
4.24

We suggest using our prediction. But we do not guarantee that the bet will definitely win. Our strategy is designed to generate profits over the long term.

Победа 2
5.33

Статистика наших прогнозов

2025 February

Прогнозов
2198
Roi
+13.16 %
Прибыль
+$28935

Previous week

Прогнозов
553
Roi
+27.63 %
Прибыль
+$15282

2025 January

Прогнозов
1969
Roi
+7.37 %
Прибыль
+$14510

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